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Caelion

Log · week of 18–22 May 2026

Risk-off holds.

Nifty 500 breadth 49%, up 1 point. Nifty 50 +0.3% on the week.

The five conditions

  • TrendNifty 50 above its 200-day average−5.2%Not met
  • BreadthAt least half the Nifty 500 above their 200-day average49%Not met
  • FearIndia VIX below its 70th percentile77th percentileNot met
  • DepthNifty 50 within 10% of its record close−9.9%▲ newMet
  • MomentumNifty 50 up over one month−2.7%Not met

Changed since last week: depth now met.

The index

Nifty 50 close
23,719
+0.3% on the week
From its record
−9.9%
India VIX
17.91
77th percentile so far

Breadth

Nifty 500 above 200-day
49%
up 1 pts on the week
All 2,103 stocks
36%
Large caps
50%
Small caps
50%

Crossings

Against the 50-day average: 153 crossed above, 196 below.

Rotation

Breadth rose most
  • Forest Materials26% above▲ +5 pts
  • Media19% above▲ +4 pts
  • Services32% above▲ +4 pts
Breadth fell most
  • Power46% above▽ −6 pts
  • Metals57% above▽ −3 pts
  • Textiles36% above▽ −2 pts
Changed quadrant on the orbit map
  • HealthcareWeakening → Leading
  • ConstructionLeading → Lagging
  • MediaLagging → Improving

Leaders

60 leaders · +44 joined · −44 left

Above both averages and within 5% of the 52-week high. A description of where prices sat, not a selection.