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Caelion

Log · week of 11–15 May 2026

Conditions turn Risk-off.

Nifty 500 breadth 49%, down 8 points. Nifty 50 −2.2% on the week.

The five conditions

  • TrendNifty 50 above its 200-day average−5.6%Not met
  • BreadthAt least half the Nifty 500 above their 200-day average49%▽ newNot met
  • FearIndia VIX below its 70th percentile83rd percentileNot met
  • DepthNifty 50 within 10% of its record close−10.2%▽ newNot met
  • MomentumNifty 50 up over one month−2.4%▽ newNot met

Changed since last week: breadth no longer met, depth no longer met, momentum no longer met.

The index

Nifty 50 close
23,644
−2.2% on the week
From its record
−10.2%
India VIX
18.79
83rd percentile so far

Breadth

Nifty 500 above 200-day
49%
down 8 pts on the week
All 2,101 stocks
35%
Large caps
53%
Small caps
48%

Crossings

Against the 50-day average: 41 crossed above, 373 below.

Rotation

Breadth fell most
  • Utilities60% above▽ −20 pts
  • FMCG33% above▽ −14 pts
  • Realty24% above▽ −14 pts
Changed quadrant on the orbit map
  • Capital goodsLeading → Weakening
  • FMCGWeakening → Lagging
  • PowerLeading → Weakening
  • TextilesLagging → Improving

Leaders

60 leaders · +50 joined · −50 left

Above both averages and within 5% of the 52-week high. A description of where prices sat, not a selection.