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Caelion

Log · week of 30 Mar – 2 Apr 2026

Risk-off holds.

Nifty 500 breadth 24%, down 1 point. Nifty 50 −0.5% on the week.

The five conditions

  • TrendNifty 50 above its 200-day average−9.9%Not met
  • BreadthAt least half the Nifty 500 above their 200-day average24%Not met
  • FearIndia VIX below its 70th percentile98th percentileNot met
  • DepthNifty 50 within 10% of its record close−13.7%Not met
  • MomentumNifty 50 up over one month−8.7%Not met

No condition changed since last week.

The index

Nifty 50 close
22,713
−0.5% on the week
From its record
−13.7%
India VIX
25.52
98th percentile so far

Breadth

Nifty 500 above 200-day
24%
down 1 pts on the week
All 2,082 stocks
14%
Large caps
26%
Small caps
24%

Crossings

Against the 50-day average: 138 crossed above, 32 below.

Rotation

Breadth rose most
  • Energy22% above▲ +5 pts
  • Textiles17% above▲ +4 pts
  • Construction8% above▲ +3 pts
Breadth fell most
  • Forest Materials0% above▽ −5 pts
  • Auto19% above▽ −5 pts
  • Power18% above▽ −3 pts
Changed quadrant on the orbit map
  • FinancialsWeakening → Lagging
  • Consumer svcsLagging → Improving
  • ITLagging → Improving
  • ConstructionLagging → Improving

Leaders

48 leaders · +19 joined · −13 left

Above both averages and within 5% of the 52-week high. A description of where prices sat, not a selection.

Notable

  • Breadth bottoms at 24%

    The narrowest point of the year: only 24% of stocks above their 200-day average.