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Caelion

Log · week of 23–27 Mar 2026

Risk-off holds.

Nifty 500 breadth 25%, down 2 points. Nifty 50 −1.3% on the week.

The five conditions

  • TrendNifty 50 above its 200-day average−9.7%Not met
  • BreadthAt least half the Nifty 500 above their 200-day average25%Not met
  • FearIndia VIX below its 70th percentile99th percentileNot met
  • DepthNifty 50 within 10% of its record close−13.3%Not met
  • MomentumNifty 50 up over one month−10.4%Not met

No condition changed since last week.

The index

Nifty 50 close
22,820
−1.3% on the week
From its record
−13.3%
India VIX
26.80
99th percentile so far

Breadth

Nifty 500 above 200-day
25%
down 2 pts on the week
All 2,080 stocks
13%
Large caps
29%
Small caps
25%

Crossings

Against the 50-day average: 46 crossed above, 126 below.

Rotation

Breadth rose most
  • FMCG18% above▲ +1 pts
Breadth fell most
  • Telecom7% above▽ −7 pts
  • Capital goods15% above▽ −4 pts
  • Financials15% above▽ −3 pts
Changed quadrant on the orbit map
  • ConstructionImproving → Lagging
  • ChemicalsLagging → Improving
  • TextilesWeakening → Lagging

Leaders

42 leaders · +9 joined · −14 left

Above both averages and within 5% of the 52-week high. A description of where prices sat, not a selection.