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Caelion

Log · week of 1–5 Dec 2025

Risk-on holds.

Nifty 500 breadth 56%, down 3 points. Nifty 50 −0.1% on the week.

The five conditions

  • TrendNifty 50 above its 200-day average+6.3%Met
  • BreadthAt least half the Nifty 500 above their 200-day average56%Met
  • FearIndia VIX below its 70th percentile2nd percentileMet
  • DepthNifty 50 within 10% of its record close−0.1%Met
  • MomentumNifty 50 up over one month+2.3%Met

No condition changed since last week.

The index

Nifty 50 close
26,186
−0.1% on the week
From its record
−0.1%
India VIX
10.32
2nd percentile so far

Breadth

Nifty 500 above 200-day
56%
down 3 pts on the week
All 2,058 stocks
35%
Large caps
70%
Small caps
50%

Crossings

Against the 50-day average: 76 crossed above, 164 below.

Rotation

Breadth rose most
  • Cement25% above▲ +3 pts
Breadth fell most
  • Power21% above▽ −12 pts
  • Textiles23% above▽ −8 pts
  • Chemicals25% above▽ −6 pts
Changed quadrant on the orbit map
  • CementLagging → Improving
  • RealtyLeading → Weakening
  • ChemicalsLagging → Improving

Leaders

60 leaders · +30 joined · −30 left

Above both averages and within 5% of the 52-week high. A description of where prices sat, not a selection.