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Caelion

Log · week of 27–31 Jul 2026

Conditions turn Risk-on.

Nifty 500 breadth 60%, up 5 points. Nifty 50 +2.6% on the week.

The five conditions

  • TrendNifty 50 above its 200-day average−1.6%Not met
  • BreadthAt least half the Nifty 500 above their 200-day average60%Met
  • FearIndia VIX below its 70th percentile18th percentileMet
  • DepthNifty 50 within 10% of its record close−7.4%Met
  • MomentumNifty 50 up over one month+1.6%▲ newMet

Changed since last week: momentum now met.

The index

Nifty 50 close
24,384
+2.6% on the week
From its record
−7.4%
India VIX
11.76
18th percentile so far

Breadth

Nifty 500 above 200-day
60%
up 5 pts on the week
All 2,154 stocks
49%
Large caps
58%
Small caps
60%

Crossings

Against the 50-day average: 184 crossed above, 147 below.

Rotation

Breadth rose most
  • Auto72% above▲ +10 pts
  • IT41% above▲ +7 pts
  • Chemicals54% above▲ +6 pts
Breadth fell most
  • Cement27% above▽ −3 pts
  • Energy61% above▽ −2 pts
  • Capital goods56% above▽ −0 pts
Changed quadrant on the orbit map
  • ServicesLeading → Weakening
  • TelecomWeakening → Lagging
  • EnergyImproving → Leading
  • Consumer svcsLeading → Lagging
  • TextilesImproving → Lagging
  • UtilitiesLeading → Weakening

Leaders

60 leaders · +41 joined · −41 left

Above both averages and within 5% of the 52-week high. A description of where prices sat, not a selection.