Room 02 · Briefing
Market briefing
Below trend, narrow participation, deep below the peak, falling month. Met: fear contained.
Week of 15 Oct 2026 · 1 of 5 · Risk-off
43% of stocks above trend, 1 of 5 conditions met.
Five questions, answered
How far from flipping
Each condition on its own scale: the dot is this week's reading (filled when the condition is met), the bar is the gap to the line that decides it, and the figure on the right is what it would take to flip. Descriptive: where the lines sit this week, not a forecast.
- TrendNot met
Nifty 50 above its 200-day average
+5.3%Nifty 50 move to pass
Passes above 24,222, the 200-day average.
- BreadthNot met
At least half the Nifty 500 above their 200-day average
36stocks to pass
Passes once 36 more stocks close above their 200-day average.
- FearMet
India VIX below its 70th percentile
+2.31VIX points to fail
Fails if India VIX closes above 16.34, its 70th percentile so far (now 14.03).
- DepthNot met
Nifty 50 within 10% of its peak
+3.0%Nifty 50 move to pass
Passes above 23,696, 10% below the record close.
- MomentumNot met
Nifty 50 up over one month
+0.5%Nifty 50 move to pass
Passes above 23,119, the close a month ago.
The levels that decide them
The Nifty 50 close (the bold line) against every price a condition uses, each with its distance from the close. The shaded stretch of the axis is where depth holds: within 10% of the record.
| Record close · 26,329 | +14.5% from the close · depth measures from here |
|---|---|
| 200-day average · 24,222 | +5.3% from the close · trend flips here |
| 50-day average · 23,611 | +2.7% from the close |
| Close a month ago · 23,119 | +0.5% from the close · momentum flips here |
| 10% below the record · 23,696 | +3.0% from the close · depth flips here |
| 20% below the record · 21,063 | −8.4% from the close · a bear market |
| Nifty 50 close · 22,997 | week of 15 Oct 2026 |
What changed
Bars share one scale. Click a bar for the names; the last column shows each row's net over the past thirteen weeks, this week brightest.
- DurablesLagging → Improving
- FinancialsLagging → Improving
- Capital goodsLeading → Weakening
- FMCGImproving → Leading
- RealtyImproving → Leading
Where the strength is
Leader turnover
This week's leaders against last week's: who joined, who fell out (dashed), and the sectors leadership comes from. Click a name for the Lens.
128 leaders · +52 joined · −49 left · 76 held on
- Other128
Correlation weather
The average correlation between Nifty 100 stocks over 26 weeks of returns. High: one tide moves everything and picking matters less. Low: stock selection carries more weight.
Above both the 50- and 200-day averages and within 5% of a 52-week high.
| Stock | Sector | vs 200-day | vs 50-day | From 52w high | 1M (latest) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TBZ | – | +201.9% | +58.8% | 0.0% | – |
| BAFNAPH | – | +137.1% | +43.0% | 0.0% | – |
| CUBEXTUB | – | +115.4% | +100.0% | 0.0% | – |
| DSKULKARNI | – | +105.8% | +56.1% | 0.0% | – |
| BLUSPRING | – | +95.5% | +32.4% | 0.0% | – |
| SKYGOLD | – | +89.7% | +24.0% | 0.0% | – |
| HITECHCORP | – | +76.7% | +22.6% | 0.0% | – |
| SHANTIGOLD | – | +74.9% | +43.0% | 0.0% | – |
| SBC | – | +70.3% | +34.4% | 0.0% | – |
| VALIANTLAB | – | +70.2% | +21.9% | 0.0% | – |
| OAL | – | +70.0% | +25.0% | 0.0% | – |
| SHREEJISPG | – | +69.1% | +19.5% | 0.0% | – |
| KRISHANA | – | +54.6% | +12.5% | 0.0% | – |
| QUINTEGRA | – | +52.9% | +55.6% | 0.0% | – |
| TCPLPACK | – | +47.9% | +14.3% | 0.0% | – |
| JKIPL | – | +47.9% | +28.4% | 0.0% | – |
| MBAPL | – | +43.4% | +4.1% | 0.0% | – |
| AVTNPL | – | +40.0% | +15.0% | 0.0% | – |
| ADVANCE | – | +38.0% | +32.6% | 0.0% | – |
| NAZARA | – | +36.4% | +10.5% | 0.0% | – |
| SVLL | – | +29.2% | +9.1% | 0.0% | – |
| SHYAMMETL | – | +24.9% | +10.1% | 0.0% | – |
| BMWVENTLTD | – | +24.0% | +28.6% | 0.0% | – |
| SOUTHBANK | – | +20.9% | +10.4% | 0.0% | – |
| VHLTD | – | +15.6% | +24.7% | 0.0% | – |
| KOTAKBANK | – | +12.1% | +8.6% | 0.0% | – |
| KALYANI | – | +4.2% | +1.8% | 0.0% | – |
| ONELIFECAP | – | +99.3% | +40.0% | 0.0% | – |
| AAREYDRUGS | – | +35.9% | +16.0% | −0.1% | – |
| ORIENTHOT | – | +26.6% | +5.9% | −0.2% | – |
| GLOBAL | – | +39.4% | +19.2% | −0.2% | – |
| SANATHAN | – | +23.9% | +13.5% | −0.3% | – |
| KRONOX | – | +49.7% | +18.4% | −0.3% | – |
| UNITEDPOLY | – | +60.6% | +26.5% | −0.3% | – |
| WHEELS | – | +79.6% | +28.7% | −0.4% | – |
| NRL | – | +101.2% | +22.4% | −0.4% | – |
| ONEPOINT | – | +51.6% | +34.6% | −0.5% | – |
| MUFIN | – | +14.6% | +3.5% | −0.5% | – |
| EMAMIPAP | – | +36.4% | +6.9% | −0.5% | – |
| GCSL | – | +68.9% | +24.2% | −0.5% | – |
| STOVEKRAFT | – | +31.5% | +4.8% | −0.6% | – |
| ABDL | – | +30.9% | +14.8% | −0.6% | – |
| STARPAPER | – | +15.8% | +9.5% | −0.6% | – |
| PANACHE | – | +63.7% | +21.9% | −0.6% | – |
| SWANDEF | – | +39.9% | +13.4% | −0.8% | – |
| CYIENTDLM | – | +97.8% | +21.7% | −0.8% | – |
| UTTAMSUGAR | – | +54.5% | +31.5% | −0.9% | – |
| 63MOONS | – | +31.9% | +11.3% | −0.9% | – |
| ONWARDTEC | – | +30.8% | +22.6% | −0.9% | – |
| THELEELA | – | +28.2% | +9.2% | −1.0% | – |
| SAMBHV | – | +44.1% | +18.4% | −1.1% | – |
| TEXINFRA | – | +19.5% | +8.1% | −1.1% | – |
| SHIVAUM | – | +47.8% | +15.4% | −1.4% | – |
| INDHOTEL | – | +7.9% | +2.2% | −1.4% | – |
| CYIENT | – | +23.4% | +15.6% | −1.5% | – |
| MGEL | – | +20.4% | +10.9% | −1.6% | – |
| PVRINOX | – | +30.2% | +11.5% | −1.6% | – |
| CEIGALL | – | +19.8% | +9.5% | −1.6% | – |
| NRAIL | – | +57.6% | +30.3% | −1.6% | – |
| GULFPETRO | – | +65.8% | +9.9% | −1.8% | – |
The night before
- S&P 500close 15 Oct+0.24%7,737.1US large caps rose.
- Nasdaq Compositeclose 15 Oct−0.11%26,664US tech fell.
- Nikkei 225close 15 Oct−4.90%64,426Japan weak in Asia's morning.
- Hang Sengclose 15 Oct−1.03%24,063Hong Kong down.
- Brent crudeclose 15 Oct−0.56%105.5Cheaper crude eases inflation and India's import bill.
- USD / INRclose 15 Oct−0.10%95.05A firmer rupee often accompanies foreign inflows.
- US 10Y yieldclose 15 Oct−2.22%5.075Lower US yields usually help emerging-market flows.
- Dollar indexclose 15 Oct−0.37%102.2A softer dollar tends to help emerging markets.
- Goldclose 15 Oct+1.67%4,176.3Gold bid: a sign of caution somewhere.
Who bought, who sold, who is short
Foreign investors were net sellers of ₹5,285 cr in cash on 15-Oct-2026; domestic institutions absorbed ₹3,319 cr. In index futures, only 11% of foreign positions are long.
Cash market, net
Provisional, ₹ crore · 15-Oct-2026
Index futures, open interest
Contracts by participant · 15 Oct 2026
The trading day, in IST
Regular sessions converted to IST for today, with daylight saving applied. Exchange holidays are not modelled.
Read from rbi.org.in on 15 Oct 2026. An observation, not an effective date.
Cash figures are NSE's provisional FII/FPI and DII trading activity for the date shown. Futures open interest is from NSE's participant-wise file for index futures; a long share below 50% means more short than long contracts. Positions can hedge holdings elsewhere, so a short is not necessarily a directional bet.
Every reading, in context
In one paragraphThe Nifty 50 flies 5.1% below its 200-day average, sinking at 0.5% a month. Nose down: 43% of stocks are above their own line, banked toward small caps (50% vs 33%). Fear reads 14.0, higher than 49% of its history to date. Altitude lost from the peak: 12.7%, a correction. Heading Telecom; the weakest bearing is Cement.
Condition not met. Nifty 50 against its 200-day average. Shaded: above the line.
Condition not met. Nifty 500 stocks above their own 200-day average. Small caps 50%, large caps 33%.
Condition met. India VIX, at the 49th percentile of its history to date. The line is that percentile; below the 70th passes.
Condition not met. Nifty 50 below its highest close so far. Within 10% of the peak passes.
Condition not met. Nifty 50's change over the last month. A rising month passes.
Sectors in the Leading quadrant each week (now 5 of 21). The leader has the strongest relative trend and momentum.
07 · Radar · live
The world, on one clock.
Each blip is a market, placed at the hour it trades in IST and pushed outward when it rose, inward when it fell. The sweep is the time now; quotes refresh every two minutes.
Hover a blip to read it. Markets trading right now pulse, and their session arc on the rim is lit.